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	<title>Social Magnet &#187; uksnow</title>
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		<title>Social Weather &#8211; The Future of Forecasting?</title>
		<link>http://www.socialmagnet.co.uk/2010/01/social-weather-the-future-of-forecasting/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=social-weather-the-future-of-forecasting</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jan 2010 21:17:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Social Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[uksnow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weather]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.socialmagnet.co.uk/?p=769</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Met Office has been getting a terrible press lately. And deservedly so, in my opinion, given their increasingly prolific tendency to get their forecasts hopelessly wrong &#8211; first it was the now infamous barbecue summer, then the prediction that this winter would be mild and dry. At least they were 14% right with the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-770" title="uksnowmap" src="http://www.socialmagnet.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/uksnowmap-300x298.png" alt="uksnowmap" width="240" height="238" />The Met Office has been getting <a title="It has a gigantic supercomputer, 1,500 staff and a £170m-a-year budget. So why does the Met Office get it so wrong?" href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1240082/It-gigantic-supercomputer-1-500-staff-170m-year-budget-So-does-Met-Office-wrong.html">a terrible press lately</a>. And deservedly so, in my opinion, given their increasingly prolific tendency to get their forecasts hopelessly wrong &#8211; first it was the now infamous <a title="Met Office: Summer forecast 2009" href="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2009/pr20090430.html">barbecue summer</a>, then the prediction that this winter would be <a title="Winter is going to be mild, says Met Office" href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/3080423/Winter-is-going-to-be-mild-says-Met-Office.html">mild and dry</a>. At least they were 14% right with the latter: “There is still a 1-in-7 chance of a cold winter.”</p>
<p>Presumably the accuracy of long-range forecasting will improve eventually, but we at least no longer need to rely on the Met Office for shorter-term forecasts. For that, we have Twitter.</p>
<p>The current, prolonged cold snap have once again proven the worth of Twitter (and other social media tools) for quickly disseminating accurate information about weather conditions. Barely has the first snowflake hit the ground before <a title="Twitter search for #uksnow" href="http://twitter.com/#search?q=uksnow">#uksnow</a> is trending, but when the weather is as extreme as it is at the moment, Twitter really does come into its own.</p>
<p>Once all this information is organised more smartly &#8211; see <a title="#uksnow Map 2.0" href="http://uksnow.benmarsh.co.uk/">Ben Marsh&#8217;s #uksnow map</a> for a tantalising glimpse into how much smarter we could be at communicating weather information &#8211; then we&#8217;ll never need to rely on the Met Office again.</p>
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